2007

ARTICLES AND CHAPTERS:

▪ D. Baldassarri, “Left and Right: The Ideological Dimension between the First and Second Republic”, in “Gli italiani e la politica” edited by M. Maraffi, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 105-130.

▪ P. Bellucci, “Changing Models of Electoral Choice in Italy”, in “Modern Italy”n. 12, pages 55-72. (Read abstract)

Scholars argue that the realignment of the electorate which took place with the transition to the so-called Italian Second Republic followed mainly a traditional partisan pattern, with electors of the former centre ruling parties (DC and PSI) turning to vote for the new centre and right parties (Forza Italia and AN), while left-wing voters continued to hold their traditional allegiance. Behind this apparent electoral turmoil there would appear to be little in the way of voter mobility. Such a reading implies continuity in the motivations of the voters who behaved according to their previous ‘personal electoral history’ and in accordance with their sub-cultural political identification. Here an alternative is proposed in which it is argued that as a result of the 1994 realignment elections voters who deserted the centre (the heirs of the Christian Democrats) did so also according to their class interest and in response to the policy proposal of the centre-right. Since that time a ‘valence model’ of electoral behaviour has begun to emerge where ‘reasoning voters’ react to the performance of the incumbent, and voting depends also on an assessment of leadership, policy performance, and issues.

▪ P. Bellucci, M. Maraffi, P. Segatti, “Intermediation through secondary associations: the organizational context of electoral behaviour”, in “Democracy, Intermediation and Voting on Four Continents” edited by R. Gunther, J. Montero , H.J. Puhle, Oxford University Press.

▪ P. G. Corbetta, “La falsa immagine dell’Italia spaccata a metà come una mela”, on”Contemporanea” n. 10, pages 107-112. (Read abstract)

The analysis of the historical series of surveys conducted in Italy from 1968 to 2006 shows that the bitter division of the Italian in two conflicting parts is not new and that the electoral body was even more divided during the sixties and seventies.

▪ M. Barisione, “L’orientamento al leader: forme, effetti, dinamiche”, in “Gli italiani e la politica”edited by M. Maraffi, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 157-186.

▪ L. De Sio, “Il rapporto tra gli italiani e i partiti: declino o transizione?”, in “Gli italiani e la politica”edited by M. Maraffi, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 131-156.

▪ G. Legnante, “Berlusconi, Prodi e l’agenda della campagna elettorale”,in “Nel segreto dell’urna. Un’analisi delle elezioni politiche del 2006” edited by P. Feltrin, P. Natal, L. Ricolfi, Padova, UTET, pages 21-40.

▪ G. Legnante, G. Sani, “Campagna elettorale e sondaggi”, in “Proporzionle ma non solo. Le elezioni politiche del 2006” edited by A. Chiaramonte, R. D’alimonte, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 161-189.

▪ G. Legnante, “Cittadini, mezzi di comunicazione e politica”, in “Gli italiani e la politica”edited by M. Maraffi, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 265-296.

▪ G. Legnante, “La partecipazione politica ed elettorale”, in “Gli italiani e la politica” edited by M. Maraffi, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 235-264.

▪ M. Roccato, C. Zogmaister, “È possibile migliorare le previsioni di voto usando lo IAT? Una prova sul campo in occasione delle politiche del 2006” on “Polena” n. 1, pages 33-52. (Read abstract)

Using the data collected by Itanes on a sample of the Italian population, representative according to the main socio-demographic variables, we analyzed the relation between implicit political attitudes, assessed by the Implicit Associaton Test (IAT), and the voting behavior. Participants (N = 1,377) were interviewed twice, both before and after the 2006 Italian national election. The IAT scores, assessed before the election, showed a strong link with the voting behavior both among participants who, before the election, declared their voting intention and among those who didn’t declare it. However, the predictive power of the IAT scores was much weaker than that of the explicit judgments expressed for Prodi and Berlusconi. We discuss the problematic use of the IAT in predicting the voting behavior of the Italians.

▪ P. Segatti, “L’interesse per la politica : diffusione, origine e cambiamento”, in “Gli italiani e la politica”edited by M. Maraffi, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 39-72.

▪ P. Segatti, C. Vezzoni, “Quanto conta la gente come me? : Il senso di efficacia politica”, in “Gli italiani e la politica”edited by M. Maraffi, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 73-104.

▪ P. Segatti, C. Vezzoni, “Tra passato e futuro : l’esperienza elettorale della lista dell’Ulivo”, in “Proporzionale ma non solo. Le elezioni politiche del 2006” edited by A. Chiaramonte, R. D’alimonte, Bologna, Il Mulino, pages 305-334.

BOOKS:

▪ M. Maraffi (edited by), “Gli italiani e la politica”, Il Mulino, Bologna.